San Diego Home Mortgage Blog

October 5th, 2009 9:44 AM
Monday's bond market has opened in positive territory, following the direction of stocks. The stock markets are showing gains of 68 points and 16 points for the Dow and Nasdaq respectively. The bond market is currently up 6/32, but I don't believe we will see much of a change in this morning's mortgage rates.

This week brings us only one monthly economic report for the markets to digest and it is not considered to be of high importance. This means that the week will be left mostly up to the stock markets and other influences since there is a lack of factual data for bonds to trade on. In addition to the one report, we also have two relevant Treasury auctions that can also cause movement in rates if demand for them is particularly strong or weak.

There are no relevant reports or events scheduled for today or tomorrow. The first relevant event of the week is Wednesday's 10-year Treasury Note auction. This sale will give us an important measure of investor interest in longer-term U.S. debt, particularly from international buyers. If there is a strong demand in the sale, we should see the broader bond market rally and mortgage rates move lower. However, a lackluster interest in the sale would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon.

Overall, I suspect this is going to be fairly quiet week for the bond market and mortgage rates, especially compared to last week. For the most part, I believe the week will be left to the stock markets and the Fed auctions. The most important day of the week is likely Wednesday due to the 10-year Treasury Note sale, but any day of significant stock volatility may make that particular day the most eventful.


Posted by Joe Feinhandler on October 5th, 2009 9:44 AMPost a Comment (0)

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